Never tell me the Odds!

After our conversations about the placement of magic items, I revisited the Dungeon Master's Guide to check if my distribution of magic weapons, potions and armour was even remotely close to its suggestions...

It wasn't.

Taken as written and paying no attention to what the player's characters use or what they want, the chance of getting any specific item is miniscule!

Take for example, Liga Burr's +3 silver Kukri...

Firstly, it's a mid-level magical item and shouldn't have even been available until you all hit level six, so zero probability, but ignoring that error...

The chance of finding a lone mid-level magical item after a 'challenging' sixth level encounter: 57%

The chance of it being a Weapon: 10%

The chance of it being a Small weapon: 30%

The chance of it being an Uncommon weapon: 10%

The chance of it being a Kukri: 3%

The chance of it being +3: 28%

The chance of it being Silver (Weirdly no rule for this, so lets just say for fun's sake): 5%

The chance of it generating Light: 30%

Scott'd have to work this out properly but I'd estimate this to be approximately: 0.00001%

Fortu's Platemail of the Deep and Arowe's +2 Composite Longbow for a strength score of 14 are equally, if not even more improbable.

Finding random magical crap is part of the game but I think it's fair to 'slightly' tip the odds in the Party's favour.

Finally, just for comparison, each character should have gear to the value of 13,000gp by 6th level.

Liga Burr's small, silver, +3 Kukri by itself has a book value of 18,328gp

Fortu's Platemail of the deep has a book value of 24,650gp

Arowe's +2 Composite bow for 14 strength has a book value of 8,600gpk

In hindsight, I think you boys are actually doing pretty well!

;P